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ES vs NQ: which index is leading?

The S&P 500 future (ES) and the Nasdaq 100 future (NQ) are traded by many of the same participants and usually move together. Because of that, the moments when they disagree, or when one clearly moves first, are worth noticing.

Why compare the two

A push in ES that NQ joins is backed by both of the largest US index futures. A push in ES that NQ ignores is narrower: it may be about a few large S&P names, or about one participant, rather than about the whole market.

Looking at the order flow of both side by side, not just their prices, shows whether the same side is aggressive in each market at the same time.

Which started first

When both indexes push the same way, one usually starts a few seconds before the other. NQ is more sensitive to large technology stocks and often reacts first to news that moves them; ES can lead when the move is broader. Noting which index started the push tells you where the pressure is coming from.

How to read it

  • Both pushing the same way: the move has broad participation.
  • One pushing, the other quiet: the move is narrower and may have less behind it.
  • Pushing in opposite directions: a divergence, often a sign of rotation between sectors rather than a clear market direction.
  • Both quiet: there is no push to compare.

Keep it in context

Index agreement is supporting evidence. ES and NQ can disagree for a while and then line up again, and a push both join can still stall. Read it together with pressure and the price result in the instrument you trade.

How Zyrova Pulse shows it

Zyrova Pulse shows ES and NQ side by side, each with its own price and seller and buyer pressure. A line under the headline says whether NQ is pushing the same way, and which index started first and by how many seconds. An optional alarm can sound when the other index starts a push first.

The top of the Zyrova Pulse window showing sellers pushing on ES, with NQ pushing the same way and NQ starting 3 seconds before ES

Rendered from a replay with sample prices, to explain how the add-on works. Not a trade result.

Learn about Zyrova Pulse

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This guide is for educational purposes only, about how markets trade and how an analysis tool displays it. It is not financial advice and does not recommend buying or selling any futures or options contract. Trading futures and options involves substantial risk, and losses can exceed the amount committed. See the Terms of Service.